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Gulfstream Park 2-23-2013 - Fountain of Youth Day Races 7-12

Updated for scratches.

Multi Race Plays

Pick 3 - Races 9,10,11
$1 - 1,4,3 / 4,10,1 / 3,4,6 = $27.00


Race 7 - Optional Claiming 1-1/16 miles Turf
A  - #8 Crop Report (5-1) - this is an angle I like to play, European horse running first time on turf and it's Motion
B - #4 Tesseron (5/2) - has some class, work pattern suggestion says he's ready, may sit good trip
C - #1 Bold Challenger (6-1) - will save ground, definitely fits here
D - #9 Redwood Kitten (3-1) - drops in class, has speed, threat
E - #2 North Slope (6-2) - has won here, 2nd out should move forward

Multi Race Horses-
A - 8,4
B - 1,9


Race 8 - Optional Claiming 1 mile Turf
A - #11  Achilles (7/2) - likes this distance, should move forward and sit the right trip
B - #10 Under Control (12-1) - like works and likes the distance
C - #7 Big Blue Spirit (10-1) - like the trip he should get and should move forward
D - #5 Which Market (4-1) - could definitely handle this, but worried style will hurt with lack of pace
E - #9 Dominant Jeannes (10-1) - 1st out 2013, can fire fresh, 3 for 3 in money at distance

Multi Race Horses-
A - 11,10
B - 7,5


Race 9 - Davona Dale Stakes G2
A - #1 Private Ensign (4-1) - likes Gulfstream, nice last work
B - #4 Live Lively (5/2) - has won here, 2nd out 2013, has real shot for upset
C - #3 Dreaming of Julia (4/5) - 1st out 2013, Pletcher probably has ready, but beatable
D - #5 Twice Told Tale (12-1)
E - #2 Lady Banks (6-1)

Multi Race Horses-
1,4,3

Race Notes-
I think Dreaming of Julia is very beatable here.

Suggested Plays-
Trifecta-
$.50 - 1,4,3/1,4,3/1,4,3,5 = $6.00


Race 10 - Canadian Turf Stakes G3
A - #4 Data Link (2-1) - class of field, any pace would help, can fire fresh, could lay over this field if ready
B - #10 Za Approval (5-1) - has a real shot, can close, may sit right trip
C - #1 Joes Blazing Aaron (6-1) - has speed, expect to go, likes GP
D - #3 Howe Great (4-1) - has class, coming of layoff, but Motion can have ready
E - #2 Beau Choix (6-1) - pace in here will help, has run well at GP

Multi Race Horse-
4,10,1

Suggested Plays-
Trifecta-
$.50 - 4/10,1,3,2/10,1,3,2 = $6
$1 - 10,1/10,1,4 = $4 (Exacta Saver) 


Race 11 - Fountain of Youth Stakes G2
A - #3 Violence (9/5) - definitely the one to beat, but 1st start in 2013 maybe his only weakness, working great
B - #6 Cerro (4-1) - Motion said this is a litmus test, but maybe prime to take down the favorite
C - #4 Majestic Hussar (6-1) - speed, sprinter stretching out, interesting horse
D - #10 Falling Sky (6-1) - could be a real threat, but post position is awful, exotics use for sure
E - #7 Speak Logistics (12-1) - could very well fill out exotics

Multi Race Horses-
A - 3
B - 4,6

Race Notes-
Violence will be heavily singled on a lot of multi race tickets and singled on trifectas.  I would back him with a second choice.  Violence is good and has been working well, but this is his first out in 2013 and other horses on coming into their own, don't count them out. 

Suggested Plays-
Exacta-
$2 - 3,6/3,6 = $4
$1 - 3,6/4,10,7 = $6
 
Trifecta-
$.50 - 3,6/3,6,4,10,7/3,6,4,10,7 = $12.00 


Race 12 -  MSW 1 mile Turf
A - #5 Forever Thing (7/2) - will be over bet because of Pletcher, but works suggest he'll be ready
B - #12 Tiz Now My Choice (10-1) - like works, close well last out
C - #6 Surfspun (8-1) - stretching out, may like the added ground and interesting prospect
D - #4 Market Outlook (4-1) - good work pattern
E - #7 Summer Shiner (6-1) - 1st out 2013, could handle these if ready

Value Add Ons-
#2 Harrythenavigator (12-1) - tough spot but could catch exotics
#1 Sevenoaks (10-1)

Multi Race Horses-
A - 5,12
B - 6,4,7
C - 10,3,2

Race Notes-
This race is wide open.  Anyone can win.  Either you'll have to go slim or spread out pretty far.  If you have an opinion you could score well.  Too wide open, no suggested plays.

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